INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR ON NUCLEAR WAR AND PLANETARY EMERGENCIES 36TH SESSION

INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR ON NUCLEAR WAR AND PLANETARY EMERGENCIES 36TH SESSION
Proceedings of the International Seminar on Nuclear War and Planetary Emergencies 36th Session
Energy: Global Nuclear Power Future; Global Monitoring of The Planet Proliferation: Nuclear Weapons; AIDS and Infectious Diseases: Avian Flu-Global Health; Climatology: Global Warming/Aerosols and Satellites; Pollution: Plastic Contaminants in Water, Information Security: Relevance of Cyber Security; Limits of Development: Development of Sustainability; Defence Against Cosmic Objects; WFS General Meeting: Cultural Energy-Focus: Terrorism; Permanent Monitoring Panel Reports; Limits of Development Permanent Monitoring Panel Meeting; World Energy Monitoring Workshop

"E. Majorana" Centre for Scientific Culture, Erice, Italy, 19 - 24 August 2006

CONTENTS


FRONT MATTER	i
1. OPENING SESSION
THE INTERNATIONAL SEMINARS ON PLANETARY EMERGENCIES AND ASSOCIATED MEETINGS 36^th SESSION ANTONINO ZICHICHI	3
A CASE OF CULTURAL EMERGENCY IN CHINA TSUNG-DAO LEE	7
OPENING SESSION OF THE INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR AT THE ETTORE MAJORANA CENTRE FOR SCIENTIFIC CULTURE ANTONIO D'ALI	9
2. ENERGY – FOCUS: GLOBAL NUCLEAR POWER FUTURE
INTRODUCTION, STAGE SETTING AND RULES OF THE GAME RICHARD L. GARWIN	13
THE FUTURE OF NUCLEAR ENERGY JACQUES BOUCHARD	15
INNOVATIVE NUCLEAR ENERGY SYSTEMS KAZUAKI MATSUI	22
THE PEBBLE BED MODULAR REACTOR PROJECT JOHAN SLABBER	26
THE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPERATIVE AND THE FUTURE OF NUCLEAR ENERGY STEVE FETTER	37
THE NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE: PATHWAY TO SUSTAINABILITY PHILLIP FINCK	42
ROLE AND STATUS OF GEOLOGICAL DISPOSAL CHARLES MCCOMBIE	50
PROLIFERATION RESISTANCE AND PHYSICAL PROTECTION FOR INNOVATIVE NUCLEAR REACTORS AND FUEL CYCLES RICHARD HOSKINS	65
COAL WITH CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE: THE MAIN COMPETITOR CARMEN DIFIGLIO	72
3. GLOBAL MONITORING OF THE PLANET PROLIFERATION – FOCUS: NUCLEAR WEAPONS
PROLIFERATION OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS: THE 2006 OUTLOOK RICHARD WILSON	85
THE DEMISE OF THE NON-PROLIFERATION TREATY AHMAD KAMAL	88
SCIENTISTS AND (NON)PROLIFERATION OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS RICHARD L. GARWIN	92
IMPLICATIONS OF THE INDO-U.S. NUCLEAR AGREEMENT RAMAMURTI RAJARAMAN	99
PROLIFERATION AND THE NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE ISSUES IN JAPAN KAZUAKI MATSUI	103
NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION: CURRENT STATE AND PROSPECTS ROLAND TIMERBAEV	108
HOW SERIOUS IS THE CRISIS OF THE INTERNATIONAL NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION REGIME? JOACHIM KRAUSE	120
ROGUE STATE HELVETIA ? SWITZERLAND AND THE ATOMIC BOMB 1945-1988 CHRISTIAN BÜHLMANN	127
4. AIDS & INFECTIOUS DISEASES ߝ FOCUS AVIAN FLU — GLOBAL HEALTH
THE NEED OF A GLOBAL TASK FORCE FOR INFLUENZA ALBERT D. M. E. OSTERHAUS	139
CREATING CHANGE IN GLOBAL HEALTH AHMAD KAMAL	140
5. CLIMATOLOGY – FOCUS: GLOBAL WARMING/AEROSOLS & SATELLITES
AEROSOLS, AIR QUALITY, AND INTERNATIONAL POLICY LAWRENCE FRIEDL	151
SATELLITE REMOTE SENSING OF AEROSOL CLIMATE EFFECTS—PROGRESS AND POTENTIAL SUNDAR A. CHRISTOPHER	163
LINKING AEROSOLS SOURCES TO CLIMATE CHANGE AND AIR POLLUTION IMPACTS—HOW GOOD ARE OUR GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS? GREGORY R. CARMICHAEL	166
FUNDAMENTAL SCIENCE IN CLIMATE FORECASTING WITH MODELS CHRISTOPHER ESSEX	176
ON THE CONNECTIONS BETWEEN AEROSOL, ATMOSPHERIC RADIATION AND HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES IN CLIMATE CHANGE GRAEME L. STEPHENS	186
6. POLLUTION – FOCUS: PLASTIC CONTAMINANTS IN WATER
SYNTHETIC POLYMERS IN THE MARINE ENVIRONMENT: WHAT WE KNOW, WHAT WE NEED TO KNOW, WHAT CAN BE DONE? CHARLES MOORE	197
OCCURRENCE AND FATE OF PLASTIC ADDITIVES IN NATURAL AND ENGINEERING SYSTEMS JEAN-FRANÇOIS DEBROUX, ANGELA YU-CHEN LIN and JESSICA HUYBREGTS	212
LEACHING OF BISPHENOL A FROM POLYCARBONATE PLASTIC DISRUPTS DEVELOPMENT VIA EPIGENETIC MECHANISMS FREDERICK S. VOM SAAL, JULIA A. TAYLOR, BENJAMIN L. COE, JAMES R. KIRKPATRICK, MAREN E. BELL, JIUDE MAO, WADE V. WELSHONS and STEFANO PARMIGIANI	221
HUMAN EXPOSURE TO PHTHALATES AND THEIR HEALTH EFFECTS SHANNA H. SWAN	230
7. INFORMATION SECURITY – FOCUS: RELEVANCE OF CYBER SECURITY
THE GROWING RELEVANCE OF CYBER INSECURITY HENNING WEGENER	241
PERFORMANCE LIMITS OF SENSOR NETWORKS FOR LARGE-SCALE DETECTION APPLICATIONS YARON RACHLIN, ROHIT NEGI and PRADEEP KHOSLA	246
ECONOMIC DIMENSION OF CYBER SECURITY UDO HELMBRECHT	253
THE EVOLVING FACE OF CYBER-CONFLICT AND INFORMATION WARFARE WILLIAM A. BARLETTA	259
COUNTERING TERRORISM WITH CYBER SECURITY JODY R. WESTBY	279
8. LIMITS OF DEVELOPMENT – FOCUS: DEVELOPMENT OF SUSTAINABILITY
LIMITS TO DEVELOPMENT: SUSTAINABILITY REVIEWED WOUTER VAN DIEREN	297
NEW CONCEPTS ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GERALDO G. SERRA	309
9. DEFENCE AGAINST COSMIC OBJECTS
OVERVIEW OF RECENT RESEARCH ACTIVITIES ON COSMIC OBJECTS WALTER F. HUEBNER	321
METEOR IMPACT HAZARDS AND SOME METEOR PHENOMENA JOHN ZINN	325
SCIENTIFIC RESULTS FROM THE DEEP IMPACT MISSION MICHAEL J. S. BELTON	341
10. WFS GENERAL MEETING — CULTURAL EMERGENCY – FOCUS: TERRORISM
REPORT OF THE PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL ON TERRORISM (PMPT) AHMAD KAMAL	351
11. PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL REPORT
ITALY'S APPROACH TO NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION VITTORIO CRAXI	357
PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL ON INFORMATION SECURITY HENNING WEGENER	361
PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL ON POLLUTION LORNE EVERETT	363
PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL: LIMITS OF DEVELOPMENT GERALDO G. SERRA	370
FLOODS AND EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL ROBERT A. CLARK	373
12. LIMITS OF DEVELOPMENT PERMANENT MONITORING – PANEL MEETING
Panel Participants	397
THE DYNAMIC CONSIDERATION OF LIMITS OF DEVELOPMENT HILTMAR SCHUBERT	379
LIMITS OF DEVELOPMENT REVISITED: THE SOCIAL AND POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS JUAN MANUEL BORTHAGARAY	384
LIMITS TO DEVELOPMENT: THE CULTURAL DIMENSION ALBERTO GONZÁLEZ-POZO	390
13. WORLD ENERGY MONITORING WORKSHOP
Workshop Participants	415
THE FUTURE OF NUCLEAR ENERGY AHMAD KAMAL and JEF ONGENA	401
BACK MATTER	419
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