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INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR ON NUCLEAR WAR AND PLANETARY EMERGENCIES 26th Session Proceedings of the International Seminar on Nuclear War and Planetary Emergencies 26th Session AIDS and Infectious Diseases — Medication or Vaccination for Developing Countries; Missile Proliferation and Defense; Tchernobyl — Mathematics and Democracy; Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathy; Floods and Extreme Weather Events — Coastal Zone Problems; Science and Technology for Developing Countries; Water — Transboundary Water Conflicts; Climatic Changes — Global Monitoring of the Planet; Information Security; Pollution in the Caspian Sea; Permanent Monitoring Panels Reports; Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathy Workshop; AIDS and Infectious Diseases Workshop; Pollution Workshop "E. Majorana" Centre for Scientific Culture, Erice, Italy, 19 - 24 August 2001 CONTENTS FRONT MATTER i 1. OPENING SESSION OPENING SPEECH ANTONINO ZICHICHI 3 ENRICO FERMI TSUNG DAO LEE 5 ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS OF SPACE TECHNOLOGY DAVID R. SCOTT 14 UPDATE ON BSE AND VARIANT CJD ROBERT G. WILL 28 2. AIDS AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES — MEDICATION OR VACCINATION FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES PREVENTIVE HIV VACCINES: CURRENT STATUS GUNNEL BIBERFELD 37 THERAPEUTIC HIV VACCINES ALF A. LINDBERG and MICHEL KLEIN 41 SCIENTIFIC NETWORKING IN AIDS CONTROL GUY DE THÉ 48 3. MISSILE PROLIFERATION AND DEFENSE ERICE RECOMMENDATIONS UNHEEDED BY WASHINGTON AND MOSCOW ANDREI PIONTKOVSKY 53 TRANSITION FROM ADVERSARIAL TO COOPERATIVE INTERACTION GREGORY H. CANAVAN 57 BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE: A RISK FOR STABILITY AND INCENTIVE FOR NEW ARMS RACES? REINER K. HUBER 71 REDUCING THE BALLISTIC MISSILE THREAT V.J. SUNDARAM 85 4. TCHERNOBYL — MATHEMATICS AND DEMOCRACY DEMOCRACY AND MATHEMATICS IN LITHUANIA Z.R. RUDZIKAS 93 5. TRANSMISSIBLE SPONGIFORM ENCEPHALOPATHY BSE IN EUROPE DAGMAR HEIM 113 TSE'S AND THE DENTAL TEAM ANDREW SMITH 117 6. FLOODS AND EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS — COASTAL ZONE PROBLEMS FROM TOXIC ALGAE TO CLIMATE CHANGE: IMPACTS IN THE COASTAL ZONE DONALD SCAVIA 131 THE BLACK SEA ROMANIAN COASTAL ZONE—A GENERAL SURVEY OF THE EROSION PROCESS DUMITRU DOROGAN and DIACONEASA DANUT 145 CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES OF NUTRIENT OVERENRICHMENT OF COASTAL WATERS DONALD F. BOESCH 165 TROUBLE ON THE EDGE: THE IMPERATIVE OF INTEGRATED COASTAL ZONE MANAGEMENT PETER M. DOUGLAS 181 7. SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY: FRAMEWORK, GOVERNANCE, AND STRATEGIES TO BENEFIT SOCIETY IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES HOWARD ALPER 207 A PROJECT FOR SOLAR ENERGY AS A JOINT EFFORT OF WESTERN AND ISLAM COUNTRIES GERHARD KNIES 211 AFTER GLOBALIZATION: FUTURE SECURITY IN A TECHNOLOGY RICH WORLD THOMAS J. GILMARTIN 222 COMPACT NEUTRON SOURCES FOE PURE AND APPLIED SCIENCE WILLIAM A. BARLETTA 236 BUILDING INTEGRATED DECISION TOOLS FOR PLANETARY EMERGENCIES DAVID W. MULENEX 242 8. WATER — TRANSBOUNDARY WATER CONFLICTS WATER, CONFLICT, AND COOPERATION AARON T. WOLF 259 BORDERS CROSSING BORDERS: EFFICIENCY AND EQUITY CONSIDERATIONS OF GROUNDWATER MARKETS IN THE CIUDAD JUÁREZ/EL PASO REGION ALONG THE MEXICO/UNITED STATES BORDER DAVID S. BROOKSHIRE, JANIE CHERMAK and MARY EWERS 264 9. CLIMATIC CHANGES — GLOBAL MONITORING OF THE PLANET THE INCREASING CONCENTRATION OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2: HOW MUCH, WHEN, AND WHY? GREGG MARLAND and TOM BODEN 283 WOULD GLOBAL WARMING RESULT IN A NEW ICE AGE? JAY OREAR 296 THE POLICY IMPLICATIONS OF INTERNATIONAL TREATMENT OF METEOROLOGICAL DATA AND ITS IMPACT ON FORECASTS, WARNINGS, AND COMMERCIAL WEATHER INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT BARRY LEE MYERS 299 LONG-RANGE WEATHER PREDICTION III: MINIATURIZED DISTRIBUTED SENSORS FOR GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC MEASUREMENTS EDWARD TELLER, CECIL LEITH, GREGORY CANAVAN and LOWELL WOOD 311 10. INFORMATION SECURITY INTERNATIONAL INFORMATION SECURITY CHALLENGES FOR MANKIND IN THE XXI CENTURY ANDREI KROUTSKIKH 333 A RUSSIAN CONCEPT FOR ENSURING INFORMATION SECURITY D.S. CHERESHKIN 339 INFORMATION SECURITY THINKING: A COMPARISON OF U.S., RUSSIAN, AND CHINESE CONCEPTS TIMOTHY L. THOMAS 344 11. POLLUTION IN THE CASPIAN SEA THE CASPIAN SEA OBSERVATION AND FORECASTING SYSTEM PROJECT PLAN ILKAY SALIHOGLU 359 CASPIAN ENVIRONMENTAL PROGRAMME (CEP): ACHIEVEMENTS AND CHALLENGES HAMID GHAFFARZADEH 365 A REVIEW OF CASPIAN SEA ENVIRONMENT, CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND AIR-SEA INTERACTION EMIN ÖZSOY 374 POLLUTION IMPACT TO STURGEON FROM URAL DELTA, KAZAKHSTAN IGOR V. MITROFANOV 388 MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF OIL POLLUTION IN THE NORTHERN CASPIAN SEA ANATOLY VASILIEV 395 THE CONDITIONS OF THE HAZARDOUS MANAGEMENT SYSTEM IN AZERBAIJAN RASHID AJALOV 397 12. PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL REPORTS COMBINED MEETING OF THE PERMANENT MONITORING PANELS ON WATER AND DEFENCE AGAINST FLOODS AND UNEXPECTED METEOROLOGICAL EVENTS SOROOSH SOROOSHIAN and ROBERT A. CLARK 409 MOTHER TO CHILD TRANSMISSION OF HIV—ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY AND THERAPEUTIC VACCINE: A SCIENTIFIC AND COMMUNITY CHALLENGE G. Biberfeld, P. Biberfeld, F. Buonaguro, N. Charpak, G. de Thé, M. Ferreira Rea, G. Gray, Ch. Huraux, A. Lindberg, N. M. Samuel, G. Scarlatti, S. Tlou, Ph. Van de Perre, Zeng Yi and R. Zetterström 412 SUMMARY OF THE WORKSHOP ON GEOPHYSICAL AND GEOLOGICAL PROPERTIES OF NEOS: "KNOW YOUR ENEMY" J.M. GREENBERG and W.F. HUEBNER 419 PMP REPORT: MISSILE PROLIFERATION AND DEFENSE ANDREI PIONTKOVSKY 433 WORLD FEDERATION OF SCIENTISTS PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL ON INFORMATION SECURITY HENNING WEGENER 437 WORLD FEDERATION OF SCIENTISTS PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL ON POLLUTION—2001 REPORT RICHARD C. RAGAINI 439 EXTENDING ACTIVITIES OF THE WORLD FEDERATION OF SCIENTISTS IN UKRAINE VALERY P. KUKHAR and GENNADY I. PALSHIN 443 PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL REPORT: LIMITS OF DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY HILTMAR SCHUBERT 446 WORLD FEDERATION OF SCIENTISTS PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL, CLIMATE, OZONE & GREENHOUSE EFFECT WILLIAM SPRIGG 453 13. TRANSMISSIBLE SPONGIFORM ENCEPHALOPATHY WORKSHOP STRUCTURAL VARIATIONS OF ABNORMAL PRION PROTEIN IN GERSTMANN-STRÄUSSLER-SCHEINKER DISEASE PEDRO PICCARDO, BERNARDINO GHETTI, FABRIZIO TAGLIAVINI and ORSO BUGIANI 457 14. AIDS AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES WORKSHOP COMMUNICATION STRATEGY FOR THE INTRODUCTION OF ANTI RETROVIRAL THERAPY: A CONCEPT PAPER SHEILAH TLOU 469 15. POLLUTION WORKSHOP ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION IN THE CASPIAN SEA: WORKSHOP SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS RICHARD C. RAGAINI and ILKAY SALIHOGLU 485 OIL AND GAS POLLUTION OF THE CASPIAN ECOSYSTEM IN KAZAKHSTAN LUDMILA SHABANOVA 492 POLLUTION IMPACT TO FISH FROM NORTH CASPIAN SEA YELENA N. ZHIMBEY and IGOR V. MITROFANOV 508 MONITORING OF MARINE POLLUTION IN THE NORTHERN CASPIAN SEA ALEXANDER KORSHENKO 515 BACK MATTER 519 Back

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